IEA Wind Forecasting Extremes in the Power System WORKSHOP
On September 30, to October 1, 2025 for our Workshop
Venue: DWD, German Weather Service, Offenbach (near Frankfurt), Germany
Workshop:
- Day 1: 9 – 18 — Workshop
- Day 2: 8 -13 — Workshop
Workshop and Meeting Agenda: download here
Workshop Recordings: on your YouTube Channel @IEAWinsForecasting here
Presentations: coming soon – check here or at our publications site here
Interested in sharing your experience ? Get in touch with us – write to Corinna Möhrlen, Caroline Draxl or Gregor Giebel
About the Workshop – Extreme weather conditions, such as heatwaves, severe storms, floods, and cold snaps, can significantly impact electricity grids and energy supply by disrupting power generation, transmission, and distribution systems. For example, intense heat can reduce the efficiency of power plants, while cold weather can freeze infrastructure like power lines and transformers, causing outages. Severe storms, including hurricanes or tornadoes, can damage essential grid components, leading to widespread disruptions. Additionally, extreme weather can spike electricity demand, further stressing the grid and potentially leading to power shortages or blackouts.
In this context, forecasting for such extremes and implementing effective mitigation strategies are critical for enabling system operators to prepare for these events well in advance. By improving weather prediction models, utilizing advanced analytics, and reinforcing grid infrastructure, operators can better anticipate extreme events and minimize their impact. Mitigation methods such as the development of more resilient infrastructure, smart grid technologies, and early warning systems can help ensure the grid’s reliability and sustainability during extreme weather events, addressing the challenges posed by increasing climate volatility.
The workshop will address these challenges from a weather forecasting perspective, from the power grid perspective and discuss cybersecurity aspects to prevent failures when dealing with artificial intelligence methods.
Workshop topics:
- Definition and associated differences of extremes in meteorology and the power system
- extremes in weather with relation to the power system
- extremes in the power system and their weather dependency
- combinations of non-extremes that additively form an extreme in the power system (e.g. Dunkelflaute)
- Forecasting tools to mitigate Extremes in the power system
- Forecasting tools availability for different time horizons (near-real-time, day ahead, long-term/seasonal forecasting…)
- Forecast types specific designed for extreme detection
- Difference between a general forecast and an extreme forecast software tool
- Decision-making in extremes
- AI and Cybersecurity in Extreme situations
- Risks with AI algorithms related to Extremes in the power system
- Benefits of AI tools in or when approaching Extremes
- Uncertainty of Extremes
- Decision-Making in Extremes – human factor, automatisation