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Work Package 2

Power and Uncertainty Forecasting

This second work package will review the state-of-the-art for error and uncertainty quantification for wind and wind power forecasting models, with a special emphasis on the underlying NWP forecasts. This activity will further engage both NWP and field measurement researchers to develop guidelines, best practices, and perhaps standards, for evaluating forecast uncertainties. For model evaluation, we would work together with Task 31 in their Model Evaluation Protocol (MEP) implemented in the WindBench platform. This would include trying to use some of their collected datasets while also opening a call for additional datasets for benchmarking.

Coroline Draxl, NREL

Caroline Draxl

NREL, National Renewable Energy Laboratory

    Lead
    Caroline Draxl
    NREL, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
    caroline.draxl@nrel.gov

    John Zack

    Atmospheric Research Forecasting and Simulations

      Lead
      John Zack
      Atmospheric Research Forecasting and Simulations

      Pierre Pinson

      DTU Management

        Lead
        Pierre Pinson
        DTU Management
        ppin@dtu.dk
        +45 45 25 35 41

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