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Work Package 2

Power and Uncertainty Forecasting

This second work package will review the state-of-the-art for error and uncertainty quantification for wind and wind power forecasting models, with a special emphasis on the underlying NWP forecasts. This activity will further engage both NWP and field measurement researchers to develop guidelines, best practices, and perhaps standards, for evaluating forecast uncertainties. For model evaluation, we would work together with Task 31 in their Model Evaluation Protocol (MEP) implemented in the WindBench platform. This would include trying to use some of their collected datasets while also opening a call for additional datasets for benchmarking.

Caroline Draxl

NREL, National Renewable Energy Laboratory

    Lead
    John Zack
    Atmospheric Research Forecasting and Simulations

    John Zack

    Atmospheric Research Forecasting and Simulations

      Lead
      Jethro Browell
      School of Mathematics and Statistics
      University of Glasgow, G12 8QQ
      E: jethro.browell@glasgow.ac.uk
      W: www.jethrobrowell.com

      Pierre Pinson

      DTU Management

        Lead
        Pierre Pinson
        DTU Management
        ppin@dtu.dk
        +45 45 25 35 41

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