IEA Wind TCP

2022

Kick-off Meeting of the new Task 51 “Forecasting for the weather-driven Energy System”, Online 2/3. Feb. 2022
Introductory Presentation by Operating Agent Gregor Giebel
More presentations coming soon…

American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Online, 26th Jan. 2022 1:30 PM – 1:45 PM EST
13th Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
11.1 – Best Practices for the Selection of Optimal Forecast Solutions for Renewable Electricity Generation Applications (Core Science Keynote)

Dr. John W. Zack and Dr. Corinna Möhrlen

IEA Wind Task 36/51
Recommended Practice for Forecast Solution Selection Edition 2 [Presentation] (1.2MB)
Probabilistic Forecasting Games and Experiments Initiative [Presentation] (3.6MB)

2021

Wind Europe Electric City 2021, Copenhagen, 23.-25.11.2021

“How do Humans decide under Wind Power Forecast Uncertainty?”, Corinna Möhrlen, Ricardo Bessa, Gregor Giebel, Nadine Fleischhut
Session “Forecasting” on 25^th Nov. 2021 11:45 – 12.30 Auditorium 15
[Poster] (Award Winner!) (2.5Mb) | [Presentation] (5.4MB) | OpenAccess [Paper]

EMS 2021 – European Meteorological Society Annual Meeting
ES2.2 Dealing with Uncertainties
Conveners: Nadine Fleischhut, Vanessa Fundel, Jelmer Jeuring, Bruno Joly, Mark A. Liniger, Ken Mylne, Anders Doksæter Sivle
Lightning talks | Mon, 06 Sep, 14:00–15:30 (CEST), Tue, 07 Sep, 14:00–15:30 (CEST)

EMS2021-495: Communicating warnings for extreme events: use-case of a high-speed shutdown warning system for a system operator with high wind power penetration
Corinna Möhrlen, WEPROG, [Presentation](1.3Mb)

EMS2021-500  IEA Wind Task 36 “Probabilistic Forecasting Games and Experiments” Initiative
Corinna Möhrlen, Ricardo Bessa, and Gregor Giebel [Presentation](1.8Mb)

ESIG 2021 Meteorology & Market Design for Grid Services Workshop — ONLINE —
Session 3: Probabilistic Forecasting: State-of-Art and Use in Operations, Tuesday, June 8  — 3:00 – 5:00 p.m. (US-EDT)
Ensemble-Based Dynamic Ramping Reserve Forecasts: An Irish Case Study
Corinna Möhrlen,  [Presentation] (1.5Mb) Video [this presentation]

Session 4: Global Advances in Forecasting, Thursday, June 10  — 3:00 – 4:30 p.m. (US-EDT)
IEA Wind Task 36 Forecasting Recommendations
Gregor Giebel, DTU Wind Energy, Denmark, [Presentation]  and Video [session] 

Wind Energy Science Conference • 25 – 28 May 2021 • Hannover, Germany
Mini Symposium”Wind Power Forecasting” under Theme 1 Wind Resources, Wind farms and Wakes
ONLINE, 25.05.2021 13.40 – 15.20 CEST & 15.30 – 17.10 CEST

Insight into Human Decision-making from Probabilistic Forecast Games and Experiments: an IEA Wind Task 36 initiative, Corinna Möhrlen (WEPROG) and Nadine Fleischhut (MPI), Ricardo J. Bessa (INESCTEC)
[Presentation] (pdf 1.22MB)

2020

The 19th Wind Integration Workshop International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems was in the Corona year 2020 and held online from the 11^th -12^th of November. The IEA Wind Task 36 had a special session, introducing the task and providing an update and news on the projects within the task. The main contributions dealt with the validation of NWP model improvements, wind power forecasting data definitions and standards,  a summary and provision of evaluation examples from the recommended practices guidelines on forecast solutions election, and a summary of the first experiment of the wind power forecasting experiment and games initiative. See publications in form of presentations and papers here.

IEA Wind Task 36 Forecasting Special Session on the online ESIG Meteorology & Market Design for Grid Services Workshop, June 25, 2020

Please refer to the ESIG page on the workshop, where everything is online. You may need to scroll down to one of the last sessions.

IEA Wind Task 36 Forecasting Workshop at Strathclyde University of Glasgow, January 21, 2020

Gregor Giebel (DTU), Introduction to the Workshop

Jethro Browell (Strathclyde), Leveraging turbine-level data for improved forecast performance

John Zack (MESO inc), IEA Wind Recommended Practice on Renewable Energy Forecast Solution Selection

David Lenaghan (National Grid ESO), A Brief history of UK National Grids Forecasting Development

Tilman Koblitz (WindPoint), Benefits of Probabilistic Forecasting in Power Trading

Corinna Möhrlen (WEPROG) and Nadine Fleischhut (MPI), Probabilistic Forecast Game

Corinna Möhrlen (WEPROG), OpenSpace Discussion and Forecasting Game Analysis

Will Shaw (PNNL), Panel: Bridging the gap between forecast innovation and business as usual (see  YouTube channel at Minute: 6:30:45

Video at IEA Wind Forecasting YouTube channel

18th International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plant, Dublin, Ireland, October 16.-18, 2019

G. Giebel, W. Shaw, H. Frank, C. Draxl, J. Zack, P. Pinson, C. Möhrlen, G. Kariniotakis, R. Bessa, IEA Wind Task 36: The New Phase for the Wind Power Forecasting Task

C. Möhrlen, U. Vestergaard (WEPROG), J. Ryan, K. Conway, S. Griffin (EIRGRID) , Probabilistic forecasting tools for high-wind penetration areas: an Irish case study,
Online Access: Paper

IEA Wind Task 36 OpenSpace Workshop

Overview Presentation including the workshop results, Presentation

IEA Wind Task 36 Session Topic 2: Meteorological Measurements and instrumentation standardization for integration into grid codes: what can we learn from the WMO?  Paper

IEA Wind Task 36 Session Topic 4: Recommended Practices on Forecast Solution Selection: which areas are not covered sufficiently? Paper

ICEM 2019, DTU Campus, Lyngby, 26 June 2019

G. Giebel (2019),  IEA Wind Task 36 “Wind Energy Forecasting”, Open Space Workshop, Presentation-version

John Zack, Corinna Mohrlen, Jeff Lerner , Jethro Browell, Jakob Messner, Caroline Draxl, Recommended Practices Guidelines for Forecast Solution Selection, Presentation

Wind Energy Science Conference, Lyngby, 26-29 June 2017

G. Giebel, J. Cline, H. Frank, W. Shaw, B-M. Hodge, P. Pinson, J. Messner, G. Kariniotakis, C. Draxl and C. Möhrlen (2017), IEA Wind Task 36 Forecasting,  Presentation-version

IEA Wind Task 36 OpenSpace Workshop

Overview Presentation including the workshop results, Presentation

The UVIG Forecasting Workshop 2017, Atlanta (US), 21-22 June 2017

J. W. Zack (2017), Wind and solar forecasting trials experience: do’s and don’ts, Part 2, Presentation-version

C. Collier (2017),  Why Do Forecast Trials Often Fail to Answer the Questions for which End-Users Need Answers: A Forecaster’s Point of View, Presentation-version

T. Maupin (2017),  Wind and Solar Forecasting Trials: Do’s and Don’ts, Part 1 Best practices, Presentation-version

C. Möhrlen (2017), Use of Probabilistic Forecasting Tools in Energy Trading, Presentation-version

C. Möhrlen (2017),  Meteorological Data Collection: Results from Eirgrid’s Met Mast and Alternatives Study, Presentation-version

C. Möhrlen (2017), IEA Wind Task 36: Wind Energy Forecasting, Presentation-version

C. Möhrlen (2017), UVIG Forecasting Tutorial: Applying Meteorology in Power System Planning and Operations, Presentation-version

C. Möhrlen, inputs from G. Nolan (2017), Findings from the EIRGRID Met Mast and Alternatives Study, Session 1, Presentation-version

C. Möhrlen (2017), Applications and Value of Uncertainty Forecasts, Presentation-version

AMS General Meeting 2017 in Seattle

Eighth Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy, part of the 97th American Meteorological Society General Meeting, Seattle (US), 23 – 26 January 2017

We had a special session (part 1, part 2) on the AMS General Meeting 2017 in Seattle, including an overview talk:

G. Giebel, J. Cline, H. Frank, W. Shaw, P. Pinson, B-M. Hodge, G. Kariniotakis, J. Madsen, and C. Möhrlen (2017)

IEA Wind Task 36 on Wind Power Forecasting and Future Research Issues, Presentation-version / Narration-version

15th Int. Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Farms, Vienna (AT), 15 – 17 November 2016. 

C. Möhrlen, R.J. Bessa, M. Barthod, G. Goretti and M. Siefert (2016), Use of Forecast Uncertainties in the Power Sector: State of the Art of Business Practices , Paper-version / Presentation-version

TORQUE 2016: The Science of Making Torque from Wind Conference, München, 5-7 Oktober, 2016

G. Giebel, J. Cline, H. Frank, W. Shaw, P. Pinson, B-M. Hodge, G. Kariniotakis, J. Madsen, and C. Möhrlen (2016), Wind power forecasting: IEA Wind Task 36 & future research issues,  Journal of Physics: Conference Series 753 (2016) 032042, doi:10.1088/1742-6596/753/3/032042. Paper-version / Presentation-version

IEA Wind Task 36 Workshop on State of the Art, Barcelona, 9 June 2016

On 9 June 2016, we held the workshop Experiences in using Wind Power Predictions 
and Gaps in Forecasting Research in Barcelona.

G. Giebel, Task 36 Forecasting for Wind Power. Presentation-version

We now have the slides online. The entire seminar can be watched on our YouTube channel. The main findings of the seminar are summarized in a paper we wrote for the conference “The Science of Making Torque from Wind” in Munich, 5-7 Okt. 2016.”