Extreme power system events
| WS: | WP1 Weather | WP2 Power | WP3 Applications | Deliverable | #, Due | Collaboration |
| Extreme power system events (WP3) | X | Workshop | D3.6 / M42 | Task 25, ESIG, IEA ISGAN, PVPS T16, G-PST |
Weather extremes are a threat to the power system, not only due to destruction of hardware, but also due to inadequate unit commitment, grid planning and available generation units. The challenges are broad and reach into the power markets, where extreme prices can be caused by extreme weather events. Knowledge and exchange of information on how to forecast extremes and mitigate effects from such extremes are topics that need attention in the next phase. While there is a strong weather dependency in this WS, the work will be structured according to the needs of the end users, and therefore administered by WP3.
D 3.6: Convene workshop on extreme power system events (M42)
Coming Events: Registration open now!
IEA Wind Task 51 Workshop on Forecasting Extreme Events in the Power System
New Date: September 30 – October, 1, 2025
New Venue: German Weather Service, DWD, Offenbach (near Frankfurt), Germany
Registration: https://www.conferencemanager.dk/ieawindtask51workshop-extremesinthepowersystem
If you are interested in the workshop, but are not part of our mailing list, get in touch with us here
Workshop:
- Day 1: 9-18 — Workshop
- Day 2: 8-13 — Workshop
- Day 2: 14-17 — IEA Wind Task 51 Meeting
- Day 3: 9- 17 — IEA/IEC Standard for Renewable Energy Forecasting Method & Data Definitions and Evaluation
About the Workshop – Extreme weather conditions, such as heatwaves, severe storms, floods, and cold snaps, can significantly impact electricity grids and energy supply by disrupting power generation, transmission, and distribution systems. For example, intense heat can reduce the efficiency of power plants, while cold weather can freeze infrastructure like power lines and transformers, causing outages. Severe storms, including hurricanes or tornadoes, can damage essential grid components, leading to widespread disruptions. Additionally, extreme weather can spike electricity demand, further stressing the grid and potentially leading to power shortages or blackouts.
In this context, forecasting for such extremes and implementing effective mitigation strategies are critical for enabling system operators to prepare for these events well in advance. By improving weather prediction models, utilizing advanced analytics, and reinforcing grid infrastructure, operators can better anticipate extreme events and minimize their impact. Mitigation methods such as the development of more resilient infrastructure, smart grid technologies, and early warning systems can help ensure the grid’s reliability and sustainability during extreme weather events, addressing the challenges posed by increasing climate volatility.
The workshop will address these challenges from a weather forecasting perspective, from the power grid perspective and discuss cybersecurity aspects to prevent failures when dealing with artificial intelligence methods.
Interested in sharing your experience ? Submit an abstract to any of these topics:
- Definition and associated differences of extremes in meteorology and the power system
- Forecasting tools to mitigate Extremes in the power system
- AI and Cybersecurity in Extreme situations
Information from previous events:
IEA Wind Task 51 Austria Workshop, 11th November 2024
See Agenda and more information here
Task Overview presentation – Corinna Möhrlen
NAWEA WindTech 2024 side event: IEA Wind Task 51 Workshop on Extremes in the Power Systems, New Brunswick, NJ, USA, 29th October 2024
Presentations:
Agenda
#1 IEA Rutgers Task51 overview – John Zack
#2 IEA Rutgers panel intro Julia Gottschall (Fraunhofer IWES), Caroline Draxl (EPRI), Justin Sharp (EPRI), Victoria Rojo (ISO-NE)
#3 IEA-Wind-TCP TEM111 Reanalysis
#4 NREL Workshop Bridging-the-gap Summary Caroline Draxl
#5 Weather and Climate Intelligence Justin Sharp
#6 IEA User perspectives Victoria Rojo (ISO-NE):
#7 IEA Rutgers dataset questions
#8 IEA Rutgers openspace discussion
#9 Summary of Open Space discussion
Kick-off Meeting of the new Task 51 “Forecasting for the weather-driven Energy System”
Online 2/3. Feb. 2022
Introduction to the Workstream Extreme power system events by Corinna Möhrlen [Presentation]
State of the Art and Research Gaps in Forecasting for the Weather Driven Energy System
September 12/13 2022, University College Dublin
Presentations on Extreme Events (see all presentations in the Workstream tab “State-of-the-Art for Energy System Forecasting” or follow this link)
Session on Extreme event definition and forecasting: Not only the weather will get more extreme in future climate scenarios, the impacts on the power system also will get more extreme. But what is an extreme event for the power and energy system: extreme weather, or can “boring” weather with low wind and sun constitute problems too? The session started with a short introduction, followed by an Open Space discussion and presentation of the results in plenum.
Extremes in UK National Grid ESO’s system by David Leneghan [Presentation]
Wind Euope Conference 2023
Copenhagen, 23.-25. April 2023
Corinna Möhrlen and Nadine Fleischhut, Extreme Event Decision-Making in a high-wind Energy System. [Poster]