Fact Sheets 2025
Variability and Predictability of Large-Scale Wind Power
Wind power generation fluctuates because of continually changing wind speeds. Accurate forecasting models are required for successfully integrating such fluctuating generation into the grid and market. Aggregating many wind power plants will smooth variability to a certain extent, which will also improve predictability. Wind power forecasting has already achieved a high level of accuracy, and further improvements are becoming increasingly smaller. However, there is promising research focused on integrating forecast uncertainty into operational planning processes.
